Match Group stock weighs Hinge growth against a 1 percent revenue drop

Match Group stock was last at USD 40.55 on Nasdaq on September 25, 2026 at 4:00 p.m. ET, down 0.61 percent from the prior close. The June 2026 quarter showed a split picture: revenue declined 1 percent year over year, while Hinge direct revenue rose 22 percent.

Hinge growth offsets revenue pressure

According to MarketBeat on September 15, 2026, Match Group reported USD 853.1 million in second-quarter revenue and adjusted earnings per share of USD 0.70 against a USD 0.65 consensus estimate. Revenue was down 1.2 percent in the source report, while the earnings figure exceeded expectations by USD 0.05.

Yahoo Finance reported on September 3, 2026, that Hinge direct revenue reached USD 203.5 million in Q2, up 22 percent year over year, while Hinge payers increased 17 percent to 2.0 million. Tinder direct revenue was USD 457.5 million, down 1 percent, and its payers declined 5 percent to 8.5 million.

Profitability remains the counterweight

The same September 3, 2026 report placed Match Group's adjusted EBITDA at USD 331 million in Q2, up 14 percent year over year, with a 39 percent margin. That contrast matters for the stock: monetization and cost control are cushioning weaker payer trends, but the top-line decline keeps the recovery dependent on product execution.

Match Group also guided to third-quarter 2026 revenue of USD 885 million to USD 895 million and adjusted EBITDA of USD 330 million to USD 335 million, according to Yahoo Finance. The revenue range implies a 2 percent to 3 percent year-over-year decline, while the midpoint of the EBITDA range implies 10 percent growth.

Stock stays below the yearly high

Match Group stock stood 9.77 percent below its 52-week high of USD 44.94 and above its 52-week low of USD 28.81 on September 25, 2026. Market capitalization was USD 9.5 billion and volume was 2,347,708 shares on the same Nasdaq snapshot.

Analysts maintained a Moderate Buy consensus on September 15, 2026, with six buy ratings, nine holds and one strong buy, according to MarketBeat. The average 12-month price target was USD 42.46, 4.71 percent above the September 25 price.