Nissan stock gets a higher fair value estimate

Published on 10/08/2026 at 06:35 | Editorial responsibility: Rafael Müller, Editor-in-Chief AD HOC NEWS

An analyst update raised Nissan's fair value from JPY 250.0 to JPY 280.0 on October 3. Q1 revenue reached JPY 2.964 trillion as the stock traded at JPY 284.40.

Nissan, JP3672400003, Illustration mit AI erstellt.

Nissan stock (ISIN JP3672400003) was trading at JPY 284.40 on the Tokyo Stock Exchange on October 8, 2026, with a market capitalization of JPY 994.4 billion. An October 3 valuation update lifted the estimated fair value from JPY 250.0 to JPY 280.0, putting the estimate below the latest share price.

Fair value rises to JPY 280

Simply Wall St reported that the fair value estimate increased 12 percent from JPY 250.0 to JPY 280.0 on October 3. The update cited recent sales, cash outflows and regional trends as the main factors shaping the valuation case.

The revised estimate is JPY 4.40 below the current price, a gap of 1.5 percent when measured against the trading price. That leaves execution and margin repair central to the stock story rather than valuation alone.

Q1 figures show a sharp reset

According to Mreport, Nissan's first-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue rose 9.5 percent year over year to JPY 2.964 trillion on August 3, 2026. Operating profit reached JPY 77.9 billion after an operating loss of JPY 79.1 billion in the year-earlier quarter, while net income returned to JPY 3.8 billion.

The company maintained fiscal 2026 guidance for JPY 13.0 trillion in revenue, JPY 200.0 billion in operating profit and JPY 20.0 billion in net income, according to Mreport. The comparison matters because the quarterly profit recovery still has to develop into the full-year targets.

Consensus stays at Hold

The analyst consensus published by Stock Analysis was Hold on October 6, 2026, based on 17 analysts. Its average price target was JPY 384.12, alongside a reported 33.89 percent difference to the reference price used by that page.

Nissan's next scheduled financial checkpoint is November 11, 2026, when the company lists its fiscal 2026 first-half results, according to Nissan. For investors, that release should show whether the Q1 operating recovery is broadening across the fiscal year.

Stock remains near its yearly low

Nissan was trading at JPY 284.40 on October 8, 2026 at 1:19 p.m. JST, down JPY 0.70 or 0.25 percent from the prior close. The session range was JPY 280.10 to JPY 286.30, while the 52-week range stretched from JPY 279.40 to JPY 466.