Alibaba’s, Pivot

Alibaba’s AI Pivot Captivates Investors and Fuels a Rally

04.01.2026 - 06:23:05

Alibaba US01609W1027

Wall Street's focus on Alibaba shifted decisively this week. Once viewed predominantly through the lens of its massive e-commerce operations, the Chinese tech giant is now being celebrated for its accelerating transformation into a powerhouse of artificial intelligence infrastructure. This strategic redirection is creating new foundations for valuation, with investors appearing to grow less cautious about the traditional "China discount" applied to its shares.

The core of the renewed investor optimism lies in the tangible financial results now emerging from management's "AI-first" strategy. The company's cloud computing division reported a striking 34% year-over-year revenue increase in its latest quarter. Within that segment, income specifically linked to AI products and services is expanding at a triple-digit percentage rate. These figures provide operational evidence that Alibaba is successfully navigating its evolution from a pure-play online retailer to a broad-based technology infrastructure provider.

A key driver of this growth is the surging adoption of Alibaba's proprietary AI models. Its open-source "Qwen" series has surpassed a significant milestone of 600 million downloads. Industry observers note that these models are demonstrating competitive strength, outperforming rivals like Meta's Llama in certain multilingual applications.

Securing Future Growth Through Capital and Talent

To cement and extend its technological lead, Alibaba is committing substantial resources. The company has earmarked an investment budget exceeding $50 billion for the expansion of its cloud and AI infrastructure over the coming years.

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Concurrently, Alibaba is making a strategic push to retain crucial human capital. Corporate filings reveal the issuance of approximately 2.28 million Restricted Share Units (RSUs). This move is designed to secure top-tier talent in a fiercely competitive global market for AI expertise, ensuring key personnel remain with the company for the long term.

Market Performance and Analyst Outlook

The market response to these developments was pronounced. On Friday, Alibaba's equity surged 6.39%, closing at $155.74 per share. This advance continues a notable recovery; the stock had already appreciated more than 70% in 2025 prior to this latest gain. Despite the recent rally, market strategists point out that Alibaba's valuation remains comparatively modest next to global hyperscale tech peers, suggesting potential for further upward re-rating.

The next critical test for the company's narrative will come with the release of quarterly results in February. This report must demonstrate whether the cloud division's high growth is sustainable. For now, analysts maintain a confident stance. The consensus average price target stands near $205, implying additional upside potential of 30 to 40 percent from current levels.

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