McDonald's consensus picture sharpens, shares steady in S&P 500 context

By Anna Wagner, Analysts & Consensus desk. Reviewed prior to publication on 2026-06-30, 13:41.

McDonald's (US5801351017) enters Tuesday with a dense analyst consensus and a share price near the lower end of its 12-month range in the S&P 500. The stock closed the last regular NYSE session at around 267 dollars, with after-hours indications only marginally higher.

What analyst targets show

On 2026-06-30, one aggregated Wall Street overview reports a median 12-month price target for McDonald's of 453.63 dollars, with estimates spanning from 253.40 to 609.18 dollars. Based on this data, the current quote around 267 dollars trades clearly below the median target but above the low end of the range.

The same compilation cites ratings from 78 analysts over the past three months, with roughly 53 percent on Buy, 9 percent on Hold and 38 percent on Sell. That mix shows a robust spectrum of opinions despite a positive skew, giving investors a more nuanced picture than a simple Buy consensus.

Tuesday focus on earnings expectations

Recent consensus figures for McDonald's next quarter point to earnings per share around 3.35 dollars and revenue near 7.17 billion dollars. Those expectations imply mid-single-digit growth versus the prior-year period and keep the earnings narrative in focus ahead of the next reporting date.

One recent analyst commentary highlighted that McDonald's net income margin stood near 30 percent at the end of the latest reported quarter, roughly double the 15 percent margin at Restaurant Brands International. This profitability gap anchors McDonald's firmly among global quick-service peers, even as the shares touched a 52-week low around 264.53 dollars in June.

How McDonald's makes its money

McDonald's derives most of its income from franchised restaurants, collecting rent, royalties and fees from operators of its global network, alongside sales from company-operated outlets. A current product example is its KPop Demon Hunters collaboration menu, which features items like the Saja Boys Breakfast Meal with a Sausage McMuffin and a new Spicy Saja Sauce.

Where the stock trades today

McDonald's shares (US5801351017) trade on 2026-06-30, 13:41 on the NYSE at approximately 267 dollars, placing the stock modestly above its recent 52-week low but still below the aggregated Wall Street median target over the next 12 months.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation or an offer to buy or sell any securities. All data are based on sources deemed reliable at the time of review but may change without notice.