NFL Standings shake-up: Mahomes, Lamar Jackson and 49ers stars ignite playoff race
25.01.2026 - 11:03:25The NFL standings just went from orderly to absolute chaos, with Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson and the star-studded 49ers all throwing gasoline on a playoff picture that already felt like January. Every drive, every fourth-down gamble, every blown coverage now swings division titles and Wild Card hopes. Super Bowl contender talk is no longer theoretical; it is baked into every snap.
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Across the league, the NFL standings tightened as contenders separated from pretenders in a week filled with heart-stopping finishes, statement wins and gut-punch losses. In stadiums that sounded like playoff venues, the Chiefs leaned again on Mahomes’ late-game magic, the Ravens rode Lamar Jackson’s dual-threat brilliance, and the 49ers’ core of offensive weapons reminded everyone why they still look like the most complete Super Bowl contender in football.
Mahomes turns another thriller into a Chiefs lifeline
Whenever the Chiefs’ offense sputters, the conversation about their Super Bowl window flares up. Then Mahomes extends a play, fires a dart into a tight window, and the entire narrative shifts again. That is exactly what happened this week, as Kansas City survived a late scare in a classic two-minute warning scenario. Mahomes kept climbing the pocket against a heavy blitz look, slid right and found his playmaker over the middle to move into field goal range, killing off any hope of an upset.
The box score numbers do not capture the full drama, but the stat line still jumps: efficient yardage through the air, multiple touchdown passes and, just as important, mistake-free football in the red zone. The Chiefs’ defense again delivered a key stop, but it was Mahomes’ poise that preserved the win and kept Kansas City firmly in the AFC playoff picture. In terms of the broader NFL standings, that victory was a pivot point; a loss would have dropped them into the thick of the Wild Card race instead of keeping pressure on the conference leaders.
Inside the locker room, you could feel the blend of relief and quiet confidence. Teammates talked about how Mahomes “never lets the moment feel too big,” and coaches emphasized how the offense is starting to find rhythm on crucial third downs. The message was clear: this was not a pretty win, but it was the kind of grind-it-out result that keeps a franchise on track for another deep January run.
Lamar Jackson and the Ravens send a message
If the Chiefs live off late-game wizardry, Lamar Jackson and the Ravens turned their matchup into a showcase of dominance. Jackson shredded coverages through the air and punished defenses on designed QB runs and scrambles, constantly stressing the edge and collapsing the pocket from the outside in. Drives kept ending with touchdowns instead of field goals, the surest sign of a true Super Bowl contender.
Jackson’s day was stacked with impact plays: a pile of passing yards, multiple touchdown throws and another highlight-reel run where he slipped a free rusher in the backfield, bounced outside and picked up a first down that sucked the air out of the stadium. His pocket presence has taken another leap this season, allowing Baltimore to live in advantageous down-and-distance situations rather than forcing low-percentage heaves.
Defensively, the Ravens complemented their MVP candidate by flying around the ball, forcing turnovers and closing down the run game before it ever got going. A late pick-six effectively sealed the win, sending fans into full playoff-mode celebration. On the updated NFL standings board, that win kept Baltimore aligned with the very top of the AFC, holding serve in the race for the coveted No. 1 seed and home-field advantage.
49ers muscle up front, look every bit like a Super Bowl favorite
While the AFC featured fireworks, the San Francisco 49ers once again bullied their opponent up front. The offense rolled through its familiar script: a physical ground game, play-action shots and yards after catch from a loaded receiving corps. The 49ers dictated tempo from the first drive, controlling the line of scrimmage and forcing the other sideline to chase the game.
The big takeaway was how balanced San Francisco looked. Their quarterback sliced the secondary with efficient passing, the featured back churned out tough yards between the tackles, and the wideouts kept turning short throws into chunk gains. In the red zone, the play calling was ruthless: motions, misdirection, and a relentless push at the goal line. It felt like playoff football, complete with long, clock-draining drives that crushed any comeback hopes.
On defense, the front four generated constant pressure, collapsing the pocket and racking up sacks. One sequence in the third quarter summed up the tone: back-to-back sacks to force third-and-forever, followed by a hurried incompletion that drew boos from the home crowd. That kind of defensive suffocation is what separates true Super Bowl contenders from mere playoff teams, and it is why the 49ers remain near the top of every power ranking.
How the NFL standings and playoff picture look right now
With the dust settling from the latest slate of games, the NFL standings have crystallized into a clear hierarchy at the top, with a messy, unpredictable Wild Card race underneath. Here is a compact look at the current conference leaders and the cluster of teams jostling for position in the Wild Card hunt.
| Conference | Seed | Team | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| AFC | 1 | Ravens | Conference leader, strong Super Bowl contender |
| AFC | 2 | Chiefs | Division leader, chasing No. 1 seed |
| AFC | 5 | Wild Card Team A | On track, but margin is thin |
| AFC | 6 | Wild Card Team B | In the mix, tiebreakers critical |
| AFC | 7 | Wild Card Team C | On the bubble, cannot afford slip-ups |
| NFC | 1 | 49ers | Conference leader, Super Bowl favorite |
| NFC | 2 | Contender Team D | Chasing home-field advantage |
| NFC | 5 | Wild Card Team E | Road warrior profile |
| NFC | 6 | Wild Card Team F | In, but vulnerable |
| NFC | 7 | Wild Card Team G | Hanging by a thread |
Those “bubble” teams are living snap-to-snap. A single missed field goal, a blown coverage on a deep shot or a turnover in the red zone can be the difference between securing a Wild Card berth and starting vacation early. Coaches keep preaching that they control their own destiny, but every player in those locker rooms knows how thin the margins really are.
The AFC race feels like a heavyweight bracket: Ravens, Chiefs and a handful of rising challengers trading body blows week after week. In the NFC, the 49ers are trying to hold serve while a pack of teams angles for seeding and, just as importantly, a first-round matchup that will not require a cross-country flight into a hostile environment.
MVP race: Lamar, Mahomes and a late 49ers charge
The MVP race has tightened in lockstep with the NFL standings. Lamar Jackson just added another signature performance to his resume, combining electric rushing numbers with high-efficiency passing. His ability to turn broken plays into explosives has become routine, and voters will not ignore how often he bails out the offense in long-yardage situations.
Mahomes remains very much in the MVP conversation as well. Even on days when the box score looks merely “good,” the tape shows how he manipulates safeties, extends plays and consistently finds ways to keep the Chiefs in scoring position. Another week with multiple touchdown passes and strong third-down production keeps his candidacy alive, especially if Kansas City can stay near the top of the AFC playoff picture.
From the NFC, at least one 49ers star is creeping into the discussion. Whether it is their quarterback orchestrating the offense with surgical precision or a skill-position weapon piling up yards after catch and touchdowns, San Francisco’s top playmakers are putting up numbers that belong on the MVP radar. The one knock is distribution of credit: when a roster is this stacked, voters sometimes split their votes across multiple stars.
Defensive standouts deserve a mention too. Edge rushers and lockdown corners have swung games with strip-sacks, red-zone pass breakups and momentum-flipping interceptions. A three-sack performance here, a crucial pick in the final two-minute drill there – those plays may not dominate MVP talk, but they absolutely define who looks like a legitimate Super Bowl contender and who is just hanging around.
Injury report and roster moves reshaping the race
No week in the NFL passes without the injury report reshuffling the conversation. Several contenders took hits to key positions, with starters leaving games and throwing depth charts into flux. A wide receiver exiting with a lower-body injury forced one offense to lean heavily on its tight ends and backs in the passing game. Elsewhere, a starting cornerback’s absence was felt immediately as backup defenders struggled in man coverage, giving up chunk plays that changed the complexion of their matchup.
Coaches downplayed some injuries as day-to-day, but others will have a direct impact on next week’s game plans. A banged-up offensive line could spell trouble against a blitz-heavy defense; a hobbled pass rusher might mean more time in the pocket for opposing quarterbacks. In a season where the NFL standings are this compressed, even one star missing a Sunday can tilt the Super Bowl odds.
On the transaction front, depth-focused trades and practice-squad elevations continued to flow. Backup quarterbacks, special-team aces and rotational defensive linemen were shuffled as teams tried to plug holes and survive the stretch run. None of these moves individually makes headlines like a blockbuster trade, but together they shape who can withstand the grind of December and who fades when the schedule tightens.
What is next: must-watch games and Super Bowl trajectories
The path from here to the postseason is brutal. With every team now fully aware of where it stands in the NFL standings, the next slate of games feels loaded with elimination-game tension. Sunday Night Football and Monday Night Football matchups carry extra weight, especially in the Wild Card race where tiebreakers will decide everything.
Several matchups jump off the schedule as must-watch: an AFC clash with massive seeding implications, a heavyweight NFC showdown that could swing home-field advantage, and a desperate battle between bubble teams clinging to Wild Card dreams. Expect aggressive fourth-down calls, trick plays in the red zone and coaches emptying the playbook in two-minute drill situations. Nobody wants to walk into the film room on Monday knowing their season slipped away because they played it safe.
As for Super Bowl trajectories, the Ravens, Chiefs and 49ers remain at the front of the pack, but there is room for one or two dark horses to surge if they get hot at exactly the right time. A quarterback catching fire, a defense suddenly generating takeaways in bunches, or a special-teams unit flipping field position could change the conversation overnight.
Fans do not need to wait for January to feel playoff intensity. It is already here. Every drive, every snap, every red-zone decision is layered with meaning, and the NFL standings are updating in real time with every made or missed field goal. Buckle up, clear your schedule for the prime-time kickoffs, and keep one eye on the scoreboard and another on the injury report. The road to the Super Bowl is officially a week-to-week war.


