XRP Near Year Low Despite Record Network Activity and Whale Buying Spree
Published on 06/25/2026 at 04:32 | Redaktion boerse-global.de
The XRP Ledger is humming with activity. Daily transactions surged 35% in the first quarter of 2026 to nearly 2.5 million, while the value of tokenized assets on the network doubled to over $2 billion. A security re-audit by Halborn found no critical vulnerabilities in the planned native lending protocol, paving the way for decentralized credit services directly on the XRPL. Yet the token's price tells a different story: XRP changed hands at $1.07 on Monday, down almost 43% since the start of the year. It is barely a whisker above its 52-week low of $1.05.
The disconnect is stark, and the culprit is macro. Bitcoin slid to its lowest level in 21 months, dragging the broader crypto market into a rout. Ethereum, Solana and XRP all took hits as investors fled risk assets across the board—halbleiter- und KI-Aktien litten ebenfalls. For XRP, the gap to its 200-day moving average now stands at roughly 30%, underscoring the velocity of the downturn. The psychologically key $1 mark, which had held since the US election in 2024, is now under serious threat. A break below that level would open the door to further losses, traders warn.
The irony is that whale holders have been buying aggressively through the sell-off. Wallets containing more than 1 million XRP added a combined 1.53 billion tokens over the past six months, pushing their share of the circulating supply to 74.1%. Spot ETFs tracking XRP have also drawn significant interest: net inflows topped $1.45 billion, with issuers including Bitwise, Franklin Templeton and Grayscale. Yet this accumulation has failed to stem the tide. On the Binance exchange, the XRP Scarcity Index—a measure of available supply relative to trading demand—dropped to around 0.34, its lowest level in more than three months. That increase in circulating supply at the exchange has generated short-term selling pressure, leading to $8.83 million in long-position liquidations over a single 24-hour window last week.
Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying XRP?
Technical indicators paint a similarly fragile picture. The relative strength index sits near 34, edging into oversold territory. The $1.05 level is the immediate support, and a bounce from there could target the 200-day moving average at $1.14—the first hurdle for any recovery. But if selling continues, a move below $1.00 would break a line in the sand that has held since late 2024. The current price is a painful 71% off the year high of $3.65 reached last July.
The recent Halborn audit, though a milestone for XRPL’s DeFi ambitions, has done little to counter the macro headwinds. While the absence of critical vulnerabilities is a green light for the native credit protocol, it does not change the immediate liquidity dynamics. For now, XRP remains hostage to Bitcoin’s next move. Only a return of risk appetite and fresh liquidity into the market can stabilize the token—and that, analysts say, depends on broader monetary conditions rather than anything happening on the ledger itself.
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