XRP’s Ninth Straight Week of ETF Inflows Masks Bitter Reality for Token Holders
Published on 07/09/2026 at 10:13 | Redaktion boerse-global.de
The disconnect between institutional appetite and retail sentiment has rarely been starker than in XRP’s current market. Spot exchange?traded funds tracking the token have recorded net inflows for nine consecutive weeks, pushing cumulative inflows past $1.48?billion. Last week alone added $17.19?million. Yet the price is stuck in a rut, hovering near $1.08 after a failed breakout above $1.14 earlier in the week.
That brief rally to $1.158 on strong volume evaporated as sellers defended the zone, shoving XRP back into a tight range. The token now sits roughly 3?% higher on the week but remains more than 70?% below its 52?week high of $3.65 reached last July. The 50?day moving average at $1.18 and the 200?day average at $1.47 underscore how far the price has drifted from its longer?term trend. Traders are watching a narrow band: support between $1.14 and $1.145, with resistance at $1.155 and then the $1.17?$1.20 zone. A sustained break below $1.145 would open the door to $1.142 and $1.133.
The gap between institutional flows and price action is mirrored in on?chain sentiment metrics. XRP’s 30?day MVRV ratio stands at minus 45?%, meaning short?term holders are sitting on heavy losses, while the one?year MVRV is even deeper at minus 47?%. Santiment’s weighted sentiment indicator recently touched its lowest level since October?2025. The analytics firm notes that XRP’s strongest recoveries have historically coincided with periods when retail traders had already given up hope.
Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying XRP?
Beneath the surface, a shift in holder behavior is under way. Large wallets continue to move tokens away from exchanges, while smaller investors remain hesitant. Across all centralized exchanges, the so?called whale?vs?retail spread sits at 50.9?%, rising to 44.6?% on Binance alone. Meanwhile, daily new wallet creations hit a three?month high, suggesting network engagement is picking up even as the spot market stagnates.
Regulatory and legislative catalysts add another layer of uncertainty. A judge in a separate case involving the prediction platform Kalshi delivered a ruling that could eventually reach the Supreme Court, while the CLARITY Act remains the key legislative milestone for the token’s legal status. On Kalshi itself, 33?% of traders now expect XRP to reach $1.30 by the end of July, citing seasonal patterns that have historically boosted the token during the month. But the path is clouded by the broader market’s risk?off tone: Bitcoin stalled below $64,000 and Ethereum failed to clear its 50?day moving average, keeping altcoin sentiment subdued.
With price consolidating just 7?% above its 52?week low of $1.01 from late June, XRP is at a pivot point. A clean break above $1.20 would shift attention to the $1.29?$1.30 area, where prior selloffs originated. Until then, the persistent ETF inflows and whale accumulation remain a bullish undercurrent that has yet to translate into momentum — leaving the token suspended between institutional conviction and retail exhaustion.
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