Voestalpine, Courts

Voestalpine Courts BYD as Buy Ratings Survive a Trimmed Profit Outlook

Published on 11/14/2026 at 02:40 | Editorial boerse-global.de
Voestalpine pitches itself to Chinese carmakers entering Europe, naming BYD a logical fit, while UBS and Deutsche Bank keep Buy ratings but Deutsche cuts EBITDA forecasts.
Voestalpine Illustration mit AI erstellt.

Voestalpine is pitching itself to Chinese carmakers expanding into Europe, with BYD singled out as a natural fit, even as analysts on the same day trimmed their earnings models and the stock slipped 2.9%. The two threads — a hunt for new automotive customers and a more cautious profit picture — frame where the steelmaker stands after its half-year update.

Chief executive Herbert Eibensteiner said on Tuesday that the new manufacturers could become customers of European steel and component suppliers. For Voestalpine, that would offset production cuts at traditional automakers, provided the overtures turn into actual supply relationships. The stake is considerable: roughly one third of group revenue comes from the auto industry, and the company says it has held its delivered automotive volumes steady.

BYD in Hungary as the Test Case

Eibensteiner pointed to BYD and its proximity to Voestalpine in Hungary, calling a customer relationship logical. That geographic neighbourhood gives his thesis a concrete anchor — Chinese manufacturers could lean on existing local suppliers as they build out European capacity. The backdrop is a European car market that is markedly smaller: according to industry association ACEA, around 12 million vehicles are built in Europe each year.

The growth is happening on the export side. China could ship more than 10 million vehicles abroad in 2026, up from 7.1 million last year. For European suppliers, though, the opportunity Eibensteiner describes lies in producing for those manufacturers inside Europe, not in the export figures themselves.

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Proposed EU rules from 2027 could add tailwind. At least 70% of component value in subsidised or publicly procured cars would have to come from Europe, with batteries exempt. Should the measure take effect as drafted and cover the relevant vehicles, it would give European sourcing extra weight and make it easier for Voestalpine to approach new customers.

UBS and Deutsche Bank Keep Buy Ratings

On the analyst side, UBS reaffirmed its buy recommendation and a 64.00 EUR price target on Tuesday following the figures, according to media reports. Deutsche Bank Research did the same, sticking with Buy and a 63.00 EUR target — but cut its EBITDA estimates for the 2027 to 2029 financial years by 3–7%, citing higher energy and logistics costs and the burden of US tariffs.

Those softer expectations follow the company's own guidance cut after the half-year numbers. Voestalpine now expects EBITDA of 1.60 to 1.70 billion EUR for the 2026/27 financial year, down from a previous ceiling of 1.85 billion EUR. Management blamed the war in the Middle East, rising energy and logistics costs and provisional additional US tariffs — an adjustment that clips the top end of the range.

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The tariff effect reaches all the way into production. Around 150 jobs are to go at the Voestalpine Tubulars site in Kindberg by the end of March 2027, a move the company confirmed to the Oberösterreichische Nachrichten following an ORF report; additional US duties on the seamless pipes made there were given as the reason.

Investors get their next look at the numbers on 10 February 2027, when Voestalpine publishes third-quarter results for 2026/27. Whether Eibensteiner's courtship of the Chinese newcomers yields firm contracts — and whether European sourcing rules land as proposed — will decide how much of the automotive gap the group can close.

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